AI Betting

Game Betting Model

Slate: 2026-10-15 11 games

Win probabilities for every game, calibrated to the betting market and adjusted for the starting goalies. Edge shows where the model and the market disagree.

NHL game predictions for 2026-10-15: away team first, home team second
Team	Goalie	Goalie status	ML	Mkt %	Win %	Edge	Model raw

Away: Winnipeg JetsJets Skinner (goalie Stuart Skinner) 4-1-1 · L10 4-1-1 · W1 1 out, 1 DTD injured players, expand for names OUT 1 wkConnor Hellebuyck DTD 1 wkJosh Morrissey	Stuart Skinner 0.917	Likely	-120	53.3	51.3	-2.0	33.7
Home: Chicago BlackhawksBlackhawks Knight (goalie Spencer Knight) 2-5-0 · L10 2-5-0 · W1 2 out injured players, expand for names OUT 3 wkAndrew Mangiapane OUTFrank Nazar	Spencer Knight 0.885	Confirmed	+109	46.7	48.7	Value: +2.0	66.3
8:00 PM ET O/U 6.5 Pace 99 PICK Winnipeg JetsJets

Away: Philadelphia FlyersFlyers Woll (goalie Joseph Woll) 0-5-3 · L10 0-5-3 · OT1 3 out injured players, expand for names IR 18 wkNikita Grebenkin IR 1 wkRasmus Ristolainen IR 1 wkTravis Konecny	Joseph Woll 0.914	Confirmed	+127	43.0	44.8	Value: +1.8	60.7
Home: Detroit Red WingsRed Wings Tarasov (goalie Daniil Tarasov) 1-3-2 · L10 1-3-2 · OT2 3 out injured players, expand for names IR 1 wkJ.T. Compher IR 3 wkMarco Kasper IR 3 wkMason Appleton	Daniil Tarasov 0.974	Confirmed	-140	57.0	55.2	-1.8	39.3
7:30 PM ET O/U 5.5 Pace 98 PICK Detroit Red WingsRed Wings

Away: Utah MammothUtah Vejmelka (goalie Karel Vejmelka) 5-2-0 · L10 5-2-0 · W2 1 out injured players, expand for names OUT 3 wkMichael Carcone	Karel Vejmelka 0.895	Confirmed	-111	51.4	51.3	-0.1	50.6
Home: Edmonton OilersOilers Levi (goalie Devon Levi) 5-0-1 · L10 5-0-1 · W5 4 out, 2 DTD injured players, expand for names IR 4 wkAlec Regula IR 1 wkColton Dach IR 4 wkMattias Janmark IR 1 wkRyan Nugent-Hopkins DTD 1 wkJake Walman DTD 1 wkZach Hyman	Devon Levi 0.903	Confirmed	+101	48.6	48.7	Value: +0.1	49.4
9:00 PM ET O/U 6.5 Pace 103 PICK Utah MammothUtah

Away: Vancouver CanucksCanucks Merilainen (goalie Leevi Merilainen) 2-6-0 · L10 2-6-0 · L5 2 out injured players, expand for names IR 1 wkFilip Chytil OUT 11 wkThatcher Demko	Leevi Merilainen 0.926	Confirmed	+251	27.7	29.6	Value: +1.9	45.8
Home: Florida PanthersPanthers Schmid (goalie Akira Schmid) 3-2-2 · L10 3-2-2 · W1 3 out injured players, expand for names IR 7 wkAleksander Barkov IR 6 wkBrad Marchand IR 4 wkJonah Gadjovich	Akira Schmid 0.875	Confirmed	-289	72.3	70.4	-1.9	54.2
7:00 PM ET O/U 6.5 Pace 96 PICK Florida PanthersPanthers

Away: St. Louis BluesBlues Hofer (goalie Joel Hofer) 3-2-1 · L10 3-2-1 · W2 4 out injured players, expand for names IR 6 wkAlexey Toropchenko IR 8 wkDillon Dube IR 8 wkLogan Mailloux IR 6 wkTyler Tucker	Joel Hofer 0.921	Unconfirmed	+124	43.5	44.6	Value: +1.1	54.4
Home: Minnesota WildWild Wallstedt (goalie Jesper Wallstedt) 4-2-1 · L10 4-2-1 · L1 2 out, 4 DTD injured players, expand for names IR 4 wkBrock Faber OUT 5 wkFilip Gustavsson DTD 1 wkJared Spurgeon DTD 1 wkMarcus Foligno DTD 1 wkNick Foligno DTD 1 wkNico Sturm	Jesper Wallstedt 0.933	Confirmed	-138	56.5	55.4	-1.1	45.6
8:00 PM ET O/U 5.5 Pace 99 PICK Minnesota WildWild

Away: New York RangersRangers Garand (goalie Dylan Garand) 6-2-0 · L10 6-2-0 · W2 2 out injured players, expand for names IR 27 wkIgor Shesterkin IR 14 wkJoe Veleno	Dylan Garand 0.951	Confirmed	+117	44.9	45.3	Value: +0.4	48.6
Home: New Jersey DevilsDevils Daws (goalie Nico Daws) 3-3-0 · L10 3-3-0 · W1 1 out, 2 DTD injured players, expand for names IR 1 wkConnor Brown DTD 1 wkJacob Markstrom DTD 1 wkLuke Evangelista	Nico Daws 0.824	Likely	-130	55.1	54.7	-0.4	51.4
7:00 PM ET O/U 6.5 Pace 99 PICK New Jersey DevilsDevils

Away: San Jose SharksSharks Nedeljkovic (goalie Alex Nedeljkovic) 3-3-0 · L10 3-3-0 · L2	Alex Nedeljkovic 0.923	Confirmed	+115	45.4	45.2	-0.2	43.0
Home: Nashville PredatorsPredators Saros (goalie Juuse Saros) 2-2-2 · L10 2-2-2 · L1 2 out, 1 DTD injured players, expand for names IR 1 wkJustus Annunen IR 3 wkWilliam Trudeau DTD 1 wkMavrik Bourque	Juuse Saros 0.897	Likely	-127	54.6	54.8	Value: +0.2	57.0
8:00 PM ET O/U 6.5 Pace 98 PICK Nashville PredatorsPredators

Away: New York IslandersIslanders Varlamov (goalie Semyon Varlamov) 3-3-0 · L10 3-3-0 · W1 1 out, 1 DTD injured players, expand for names IR 27 wkAlexander Romanov DTD 1 wkMathew Barzal	Semyon Varlamov 0.864	Confirmed	+142	40.3	41.9	Value: +1.6	57.1
Home: Ottawa SenatorsSenators Ullmark (goalie Linus Ullmark) 5-2-0 · L10 5-2-0 · L1 2 out, 1 DTD injured players, expand for names IR 1 wkCameron Crotty IR 4 wkWilliam Eklund DTD 1 wkJake Sanderson	Linus Ullmark 0.948	Confirmed	-158	59.7	58.1	-1.6	42.9
7:00 PM ET O/U 5.5 Pace 99 PICK Ottawa SenatorsSenators

Away: Seattle KrakenKraken Daccord (goalie Joey Daccord) 5-2-0 · L10 5-2-0 · W3 2 out injured players, expand for names IR 4 wkJacob Melanson OUT 5 wkRyan Lindgren	Joey Daccord 0.913	Unconfirmed	+240	28.6	28.9	Value: +0.2	31.2
Home: Tampa Bay LightningLightning Vasilevskiy (goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy) 4-2-0 · L10 4-2-0 · L1 1 out injured players, expand for names OUT 9 wkYanni Gourde	Andrei Vasilevskiy 0.886	Likely	-275	71.4	71.1	-0.2	68.8
7:00 PM ET O/U 6.5 Pace 102 PICK Tampa Bay LightningLightning

Away: Buffalo SabresSabres Luukkonen (goalie Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen) 3-3-1 · L10 3-3-1 · OT1 1 out, 1 DTD injured players, expand for names IR 1 wkMatt Grzelcyk DTD 1 wkRasmus Dahlin	Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen 0.850	Likely	+105	47.6	48.7	Value: +1.1	57.1
Home: Toronto Maple LeafsMaple Leafs Bobrovsky (goalie Sergei Bobrovsky) 3-3-1 · L10 3-3-1 · L1 1 out, 1 DTD injured players, expand for names IR 1 wkChris Tanev DTD 1 wkDennis Hildeby	Sergei Bobrovsky 0.907	Likely	-116	52.4	51.3	-1.1	42.9
7:00 PM ET O/U 6.5 Pace 98 PICK Toronto Maple LeafsMaple Leafs

Away: Calgary FlamesFlames Wolf (goalie Dustin Wolf) 1-5-0 · L10 1-5-0 · W1 1 out, 1 DTD injured players, expand for names OUT 4 wkJonathan Huberdeau DTD 3 wkSamuel Honzek	Dustin Wolf 0.839	Confirmed	+244	28.3	28.6	Value: +0.3	31.4
Home: Vegas Golden KnightsKnights Hart (goalie Carter Hart) 6-2-0 · L10 6-2-0 · W1 2 out injured players, expand for names OUT 3 wkParker Wotherspoon OUT 4 wkVictor Olofsson	Carter Hart 0.906	Confirmed	-281	71.7	71.4	-0.3	68.6
10:00 PM ET O/U 6.5 Pace 104 PICK Vegas Golden KnightsKnights

Win % is the model's probability, calibrated to the market. The pick is the side with the higher Win %.
Mkt % is the no-vig probability implied by the moneyline (ML).
Edge is Win % minus Mkt %, in percentage points. A positive edge (▲) means the model likes that side more than the market does.
* League-average SV%, used when the starter is unconfirmed. † No odds were available, so Win % is the model's own. n/a Not available.
Goalie status Confirmed Likely or probable Expected Unconfirmed No goalie named
Under each team: record and last 10 games (desktop), and injured players (tap the count for names). On past slates, Hit or Miss compares the pick with the final score.
Odds are those seen at the last refresh, frozen at puck drop. Predictions refresh several times a day as goalies are confirmed.