Free hit rates for NHL player props on tonight's slate: L5, L10 and L25 windows, the hit rate against tonight's opponent, and the best price across sportsbooks. Model probability, EV and projections are Premium.
The Prop Hit Rates board at 5V5 Hockey shows how often NHL player props on tonight's slate have hit over recent windows, next to the best sportsbook price and the implied probability that price represents. Every hit rate, line and price on this board is free. Model probability, expected value and the projection behind each prop stay behind the Premium lock.
A hit rate is the share of recent games in which a player's actual stat cleared, fell under, or reached the threshold shown for that row. It describes what already happened, not what will happen tonight.
Under rows show the under's own hit rate. A 70% rate on a "U 2.5" row means the player finished under 2.5 in 70% of the games counted, not that the over hit 30% of the time. Read every row's rate against its own side.
A player with fewer than 5 games on record shows his rate over the games he has, so L5, L10 and L25 can match. Early-season windows can include last season's games, and a dash means no usable games. Small samples swing hard.
| Column | Description |
|---|---|
| Player | Skater or goalie, with the game they are playing in tonight |
| Team / Opp | The player's team and tonight's opponent |
| Market | The stat the prop is on: shots on goal, goals, assists, points, blocks, hits or saves |
| Bet | The side and line, for example "O 2.5" (over 2.5), "U 2.5" (under 2.5) or "3+" (3 or more) |
| L5 / L10 / L25 | Hit rate for that side over the player's last 5, last 10 and last 25 games |
| Vs Opp | Hit rate for that side against tonight's specific opponent, this season only |
| Price | The best American odds found across the sportsbooks we track for that exact bet, with the book that offers it. Switch the Sportsbook filter to see one book's price instead of the best available |
| Implied | The probability the displayed price implies, including the sportsbook's vig (its built-in margin). This is what the market is pricing in, not our own model |
| Prob / EV / Proj | 5V5 Hockey's model probability, expected value and stat projection for the bet. Premium only |
| Books | How many sportsbooks we found a price for on that exact bet |
Sportsbooks do not always agree on where a line sits: one book might post Over 2.5 shots on goal while another posts Over 3.5 for the same player. "Main lines" picks the most common line, and "All lines" shows every line and alternate ("N+") bet we found.
A hit rate is a record of past games. It is not a prediction and not a promise of profit, and a single game is a small sample in which the puck bounces unpredictably.
Prices change, and the price shown here may differ from the one at your sportsbook by the time you bet. Always confirm the current line and price with the book, and check the lineup for late scratches.
Treat this page as a research tool for comparing past results with a market price. It does not tell you what to bet and does not guarantee any outcome. Sports betting is legal only in some jurisdictions and only for adults of legal age, and you should only bet what you can afford to lose.
If gambling is affecting you or someone you know, support is available. In the US, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
A hit rate on 5V5 Hockey's Prop Hit Rates board is the share of a player's recent games, among those he played with recorded ice time, in which his full-game, all-situations stat cleared, fell under or reached the threshold on that row. It describes what already happened, not what will happen next. Treat it as one piece of evidence, not a forecast.
Under rows on 5V5 Hockey's Prop Hit Rates board show the under's own hit rate. A 70% rate on a U 2.5 row means the player finished under 2.5 in 70% of the games counted, not that the over hit 30% of the time. Read every row's percentage against its own side, whether over, under or an N+ bet.
5V5 Hockey's Prop Hit Rates board reports L5, L10 and L25 as the hit rate for that side over the player's last 5, 10 and 25 games. Vs Opp covers only games against the specific opponent this season, has no fixed window and is often just one to three games, so it is the thinnest number on the row. Small samples swing hard.
The Main lines view on the 5V5 Hockey Prop Hit Rates board shows one row per player, market and side, using the line most commonly posted across sportsbooks, so you are not comparing two different bets. All lines adds every other posted line and each alternate N+ bet, such as 3+ shots on goal, that Main lines hides.
Signed-out visitors to 5V5 Hockey's Prop Hit Rates board get the L5, L10, L25 and versus-opponent hit rates, the lines, the best sportsbook price, its implied probability and the number of books, all free. Model probability, expected value and the projection behind each prop are Premium. Implied probability comes from the price, not from the model.
A high hit rate on 5V5 Hockey's Prop Hit Rates board does not make a prop a good bet. It describes past games and ignores price. A price of -250 needs about 71% to break even before the sportsbook's margin, so a rate near that leaves no cushion, and a small sample can overstate the rate. Compare the rate with the implied probability, then check the lineup.
