Matchup-informed fantasy projections for DraftKings, FanDuel, OwnersBox & Underdog — with full stat-line breakdowns.
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NHL DFS player projections estimate each skater's and goalie's expected fantasy points for a selected date, built separately for DraftKings, FanDuel, OwnersBox, and Underdog because each site scores goals, assists, shots, and blocks differently. The projections are free to use and recalculate as new lines, odds, and salary data come in.
A DFS projection is an estimate of the fantasy points a player is expected to produce under one site's scoring rules, not a prediction that the player will score that exact line. It is built from the player's role, recent production, and that night's matchup, then converted into points using whichever platform's scoring system is selected above the table. Reading it as "expected points under this site's rules" rather than "what this player will score" keeps expectations calibrated.
The same player carries a different number on DraftKings than on FanDuel because the two sites assign different point values to the same stat line. A goal, assist, shot on goal, or blocked shot is worth more on one platform than another, so the same projected box score converts to a different total depending on which site's rules are applied.
A projection does not tell you a player's ownership percentage, how much that projection could vary from game to game, or whether the listed salary makes the player a good value at that price. This page also does not publish separate ceiling or floor numbers; the single Proj figure is a central estimate, not a range. Those are separate questions, covered further down this page.
Each player's projection starts from role and recent production: time on ice, and per-game and per-60 rates for goals, assists, shots, blocks, hits, and power-play points. Those baseline rates are then adjusted for that night's matchup and game context before being converted into a platform's scoring system. The adjustments pull from:
Once those inputs produce a projected stat line, goals, assists, shots on goal, blocked shots, hits, and power-play points are converted into points using the scoring formula for whichever platform is selected: DraftKings, FanDuel, OwnersBox, or Underdog. Projections recalculate more than once a day as new lines are posted and salary and matchup data update, rather than being set once in the morning and left unchanged; each update recomputes both the current day's rows and the previous day's.
This tool projects every skater separately for four sites because each one scores the same stat line differently. Goalies are projected from tonight's matchup (win probability, expected shots and goals against) and priced in each site's goalie scoring. Selecting a platform swaps the Proj column to that site's formula; salary and the rest of the projected stat line stay the same underneath. A platform that pays more for blocked shots lifts shot-blocking defencemen up the projection list; a platform that does not reward blocks at all does not.
The DraftKings projection on this tool weights a goal at 8.5 points, an assist at 5, a shot on goal at 1.5, and a blocked shot at 1.3. Use it alongside the DraftKings salary shown in the Salary column to compare players at the same price point, then cross-reference the Players Tool for recent form and the Lines Tool for stack correlation.
The FanDuel projection weights a goal at 12 points, an assist at 8, a shot on goal at 2, and a blocked shot at 1.6, the heaviest per-stat weighting of the four platforms on this tool. Because FanDuel runs its own salary structure that this grid does not carry, treat the FanDuel number as a points estimate to rank players by rather than a value calculation against the listed salary, which is DraftKings-priced.
The OwnersBox projection weights a goal at 6 points, an assist at 4, a shot on goal at 1, and a blocked shot at 0.8. OwnersBox's SuperFlex format adds positional flexibility on top of scoring, so a defenceman who blocks shots and skates meaningful power-play minutes can carry value beyond his raw projection number.
The Underdog projection weights a goal at 6 points, an assist at 4, and a shot on goal at 1, matching OwnersBox on those three stats, but it replaces blocked shots with hits at 0.5 and power-play points at 0.5. A physical player who rarely blocks shots can outproject on Underdog what he would on a blocks-scoring platform, and a shot-blocking defenceman can see the opposite. Underdog's Pick'em and Best Ball formats use these numbers for over/under and roster decisions rather than salary-capped lineups.
Divide a player's platform projection by salary to get a rough points-per-dollar value. The single highest projection on the slate is rarely the best play at its price, since the highest-projected players also tend to carry the highest salaries; a mid-salary player projected a few points lower can return more value per dollar spent.
One player's projection says nothing about how he fits alongside the rest of a roster under a salary cap. Pair this page with the Lineup Optimizer to build full, salary-capped lineups across these same platforms, and with the Lines Tool to check which teammates share a line or power-play unit before stacking correlated scorers together. The Fantasy Points Against tool adds opponent context on top of this page's own matchup adjustments. For more on turning projections into entries, read how to build winning NHL GPP lineups or the guide to an elite NHL DFS cash lineup.
The grid keeps a consistent set of columns regardless of which platform is selected, aside from the Proj column itself. Each one is defined below.
The player's name and headshot, their team, and that night's opponent. Sort or filter by team to scout a single matchup.
The player's listed position (C, LW, RW, D, or G). This column does not change when you switch platforms; check each site's own lineup rules for how it slots wingers and flex spots.
The player's DraftKings salary. It stays the same regardless of which platform's projection is selected, so when viewing the FanDuel, OwnersBox, or Underdog number, treat it as a rough price reference rather than that site's own listed salary.
An ownership-percentage figure where one has been entered for that slate. It is not available for every date.
The platform-specific projection for whichever of DraftKings, FanDuel, OwnersBox, or Underdog is selected above the table, calculated from the projected stat line using that platform's scoring weights.
The projected time on ice, goals, assists, shots on goal, blocked shots, hits, and power-play points behind the Proj column. Use these to see which stat categories are driving a player's point total rather than taking the Proj number on its own; a player projected for heavy shot volume but a modest Proj number may be underpriced on a shots-heavy platform like FanDuel.
A matchup-quality rating for forwards, the same metric used on the Lines tool, built from a forward line's recent 5v5 ice time and offensive usage. It only evaluates forward lines, so defencemen show a 0 in this column.
Common questions about NHL DFS projections and how this tool covers them.
NHL DFS projections are estimates of the fantasy points a player is expected to produce on a given date, built from that player's role, recent production, and the night's matchup, then converted into points using a specific site's scoring rules. They are an estimate of expected output, not a guarantee of what a player will actually score.
Yes. NHL DFS projections are free to use on this tool for DraftKings, FanDuel, OwnersBox, and Underdog. Browsing without an account shows a limited slice of that day's player pool; signing in unlocks projections for every player on the slate.
Projections are recalculated multiple times a day as new Daily Faceoff lines, salary files, and odds-based team totals come in, rather than being set once in the morning and left unchanged. Each update recomputes both the current day's projections and the previous day's.
DraftKings and FanDuel are scored differently, so the same projected stat line converts into two different point totals. On this tool, the DraftKings projection weights a goal at 8.5 points, an assist at 5, a shot on goal at 1.5, and a blocked shot at 1.3; the FanDuel projection weights the same four stats at 12, 8, 2, and 1.6. A player who shoots and blocks shots heavily gains more from switching to the FanDuel number.
A value play is a player whose projected points are high relative to his salary, not simply the player with the highest raw projection. Divide a platform's projection by salary to compare players at different price points, and weigh that figure against the matchup and role factors behind the projection, since a cheap player in a strong matchup can out-value a highly projected player at a much higher price.
This tool does not publish a shortlist of picks; it lists a projection for every skater and goalie on that day's slate across DraftKings, FanDuel, OwnersBox, and Underdog, so you build your own shortlist by sorting on projection, value, or matchup. For a narrower, ranked view, the Lineup Optimizer builds complete salary-capped lineups from these same projections.
This tool projects every skater and goalie for four DFS platforms: DraftKings, FanDuel, OwnersBox, and Underdog. Selecting a platform swaps the projection column to this tool's scoring weights for that platform; the rest of the stat line, salary, and matchup information stays the same underneath.
